TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c95,000$33,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,7508944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Yes51c52,645$26,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,851.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes50c42,638$21,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,319.13050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c29,137$17,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,157.1762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes50c20,001$10,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000.51010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c18,142$8,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,231.6914337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No50c11,690$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,845540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c11,314$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.8235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.966454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c9,460$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.8171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c8,920$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,661.471,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c8,053$5,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.4437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No53c7,806$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c5,926$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.8214452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes34c5,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6503655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c4,575$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.441,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes40c4,149$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.6524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c3,202$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.0714654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No47c2,904$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c2,685$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes77c1,701$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes51c1,287$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes53c1,234$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.720232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c1,234$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.9435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes30c1,225$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes51c1,155$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.86060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b0…f9f4backed Yes51c999.68$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes25c970.94$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+149.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes58c966.39$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c964.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes23c758.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.054468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes71c750.61$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No77c741.2$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.659348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c718$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No10c699.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2996648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes25c641.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes49c628.02$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.068447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.63748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes52c578.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.112944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No46c573.23$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.492626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No50c570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…9df7backed Yes73c540.52$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes37c539.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes7c500$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.22254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes25c477.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.22737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a7…5517backed Yes30c476.68$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+78.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No35c452$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.62638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes43c407.24$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.371580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes61c328.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.817145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No47c308$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e7…4dc1backed Yes13c307.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No51c252.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.731855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes70c251.62$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes52c251.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.565060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes66c243.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No25c239.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No35c230.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.771540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes53c218.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No64c205.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.917252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf1…f54fbacked Yes78c201.11$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f4…4588backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…fefebacked Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes11c197.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.712630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c195$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1526660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26d0…d107backed No51c194.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes52c193.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7110948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7123260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes52c170.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes12c169.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes74c164.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.448263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes20c150$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.58046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes74c140$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes72c138.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.