NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4368148bc71508fe986c2b78221d4453a80ab8875e7decc7ab5925f150eb85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Sharks | 38c | 251,795$94,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,869.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 170,000$105,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,400 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 36c | 60,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 31,320$20,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,044.55 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 30,928$19,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,484.81 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 25,176$15,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,946.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 23c | 16,383$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540.55 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 12,912$8,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,263.81 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks | 24c | 8,769$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,684.81 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 8,117$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 7,821$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.75 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 7,207$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 6,194$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.06 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 33c | 5,830$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks | 34c | 3,778$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.05 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 3,752$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.01 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,727$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,426$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 3,284$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.94 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 3,237$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 2,970$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.55 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,901$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,846$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.92 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,822$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,539$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.57 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 2,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 34c | 2,461$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 2,443$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.94 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 2,179$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks | 34c | 2,176$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.44 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,106$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.87 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Sharks | 34c | 2,044$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.05 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Sharks | 36c | 1,889$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 36c | 1,833$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,804$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.45 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks | 35c | 1,718$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.59 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Sharks | 40c | 1,653$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.27 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 36c | 1,599$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 1,587$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,499$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 1,481$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 1,372$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.43 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,311$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,269$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,126$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…d50abacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,083$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.29 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 62c | 1,033$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,017$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.1 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…b9c0backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 979.65$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…d3d2backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 969.23$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 962.99$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.31 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 938.58$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.31 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 769$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sharks | 33c | 763.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Sharks | 76c | 736.46$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 707.69$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Sharks | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 675$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 586.85$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…72cfbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 570.55$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6604…44d7backed Sharks | 36c | 569.44$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 550$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 27c | 531.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Sharks | 10c | 523.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.14 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 519.62$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 476.95$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Sharks | 42c | 476.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b098backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 472.73$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 468.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 449$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 438.12$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sharks | 36c | 409$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Sharks | 36c | 402$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.28 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 357.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Sharks | 36c | 353.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 35c | 347.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 344.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 300.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Sharks | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 36c | 291.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Sharks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Sharks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.