TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Over53c12,084$6,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.2886548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under48c7,902$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.051,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c6,685$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.9610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c4,155$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.111,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.577843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,887$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.715,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c2,634$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c2,453$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.42,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under51c1,631$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83021147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under47c1,444$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.681,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c1,245$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.114,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c1,173$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7673748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over54c1,086$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.368053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c991.25$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.892,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c987.69$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c885.33$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.962,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over39c857.41$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.253,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c759.34$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c736$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.644,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c619.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.61,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c571.01$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.986,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over54c558.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1313851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under48c413.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.672,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18811550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6238455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3739047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under47c333.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417444.6%33 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c276.19$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.323,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c254$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c240.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.278,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c196$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.565,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over52c194.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.231,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over53c189.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3711138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c142$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.742,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5116353.4%87 W · 76 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under55c126.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.861,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under47c125.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257661.8%47 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.469547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c117.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710036%36 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c94.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over52c80.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6228043.2%121 W · 159 L-23.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over55c79.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6911153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under33c66.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.112,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under47c65.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9550748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under39c65.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.765,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Under48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1441836.4%152 W · 266 L-31.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c52.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.566,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0113152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Over53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.097647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c45.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1299624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.742642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c41.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9394648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over52c39.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7462554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7423455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over38c37.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.056,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d3…cf33backed Under50c35.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c7…1ed0backed Under55c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbc9…d80bbacked Under48c32.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.683554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Under48c30.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8511451.8%59 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb551…a2f3backed Over53c27.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over54c27.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4631258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Over53c23.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0815352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c21.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9770455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Under48c20.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0422254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.