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Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes49c4,500$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.942934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes50c3,490$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.218046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c1,635$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.711,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c1,367$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.672,56642.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L+52.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes55c992.26$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.5180%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c958.74$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.136,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c836.99$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.511,14449.4%565 W · 579 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No28c821.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4314136.9%52 W · 89 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No51c557.75$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.312050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No55c530.11$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.554763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c508.11$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.981,53735.1%540 W · 997 L-33.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c452.53$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.691,26650.2%635 W · 631 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c416.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.831,06641.7%445 W · 621 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024854%134 W · 114 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No26c406.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.361250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes51c394.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Yes48c347.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.852250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed No52c330.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.992568%17 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c330$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.121,65650.8%841 W · 815 L+3.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Yes47c308.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c308.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.451,79650.2%902 W · 894 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14118644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No29c299.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9921320.2%43 W · 170 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes67c283.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No51c243.36$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2518353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No52c224.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.185046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No52c210.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.262365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c202.24$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No53c193.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1714848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+89.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c188.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.185447.9%409 W · 445 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes57c181.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No52c148.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.085671.4%40 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes68c141.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8873850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Yes71c141.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes48c135.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6740448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5899…4623backed Yes15c130.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No51c119.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.199444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes67c118.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c118.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2483853.7%450 W · 388 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes46c115.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.824763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No65c114.05$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2332747.7%156 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c112.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7225748.2%124 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes45c110.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes74c108.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.913948.7%19 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+114.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No29c108.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7815045.3%68 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4518445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0432560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes67c94.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8620238.1%77 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked Yes11c94.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick11cpaid+348.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes69c83.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.313548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c76.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…46cebacked Yes72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc3…57d2backed Yes73c68.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No23c67.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.657838.5%30 W · 48 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes76c66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2832457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed No30c65.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.716137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes61c64.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4518952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0814351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05a…f8fdbacked Yes72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes48c62.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.253865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes45c62.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c60.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122,03654.2%1,104 W · 932 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.417953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…a31dbacked No52c59.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.792454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes21c56.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed No41c51.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes51c48.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.962259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c47.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No23c47.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5727648.9%135 W · 141 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No39c46.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4710142.6%43 W · 58 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No44c45.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5822374%165 W · 58 L+45.1wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9b39…9dadbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…cb91backed Yes72c42.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcece…ee8cbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Yes76c40.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes59c39.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2836142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes77c38.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No52c38.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4720860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No52c37.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No35c37.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.315664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39af…1174backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7513951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.