NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc893327ba4b37052ef268df368e1fd6e71edd5c6b627cb77ebca76ce4604f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 59c | 250,000$147,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,499.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked 76ers | 41c | 232,334$95,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,217.66 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed 76ers | 14c | 29,273$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,031.31 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed 76ers | 12c | 13,245$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked 76ers | 29c | 11,694$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed 76ers | 15c | 11,571$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,826.08 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Celtics | 79c | 9,524$7,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,557.3 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked 76ers | 17c | 8,800$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked 76ers | 12c | 8,310$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.45 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked 76ers | 30c | 7,973$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers | 10c | 7,820$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.68 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…7608backed Celtics | 60c | 6,620$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed 76ers | 8c | 5,633$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde09…2aa5backed 76ers | 59c | 5,052$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed 76ers | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed 76ers | 11c | 4,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 76ers | 59c | 4,221$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.02 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Celtics | 71c | 3,773$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.09 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed 76ers | 15c | 3,726$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +235%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 68c | 3,667$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.69 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…b678backed 76ers | 11c | 3,539$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed 76ers | 64c | 3,120$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed 76ers | 9c | 2,953$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.78 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked 76ers | 16c | 2,738$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.16 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked 76ers | 3c | 2,532$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +865.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…f2ddbacked 76ers | 15c | 2,348$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +151%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed 76ers | 1c | 2,297$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.61 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 76ers | 46c | 2,254$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.85 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Celtics | 75c | 1,844$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.78 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed 76ers | 16c | 1,766$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed 76ers | 3c | 1,700$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +374.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers | 32c | 1,684$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.2 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…f2b5backed 76ers | 30c | 1,676$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed 76ers | 7c | 1,647$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +324.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Celtics | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…537ebacked 76ers | 39c | 1,562$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed 76ers | 31c | 1,385$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.61 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed 76ers | 59c | 1,344$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.03 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…4550backed 76ers | 61c | 1,267$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed 76ers | 23c | 1,154$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Celtics | 63c | 1,111$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.04 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6363…b44fbacked 76ers | 10c | 1,095$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed 76ers | 7c | 1,077$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked 76ers | 30c | 1,040$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed 76ers | 16c | 1,027$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked 76ers | 78c | 1,000$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed 76ers | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 76ers | 34c | 990$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked 76ers | 66c | 957.85$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed 76ers | 9c | 945.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Celtics | 65c | 869.38$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed 76ers | 15c | 868$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics | 26c | 845.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.32 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed 76ers | 30c | 841.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Celtics | 7c | 837.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…1efbbacked Celtics | 65c | 759.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked 76ers | 61c | 741.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Celtics | 40c | 630.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Celtics | 67c | 623.75$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed 76ers | 61c | 565.22$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…b9e5backed 76ers | 3c | 541.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Celtics | 44c | 499$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed 76ers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed 76ers | 28c | 459.15$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Celtics | 72c | 449.71$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked 76ers | 30c | 441.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed 76ers | 4c | 430.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…e765backed Celtics | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 76ers | 16c | 412.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…4f0abacked 76ers | 9c | 390$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked 76ers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Celtics | 72c | 348.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Celtics | 60c | 343.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked 76ers | 30c | 340$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed 76ers | 11c | 332.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…39d9backed Celtics | 17c | 322.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f5…6fffbacked 76ers | 30c | 302.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…d538backed 76ers | 10c | 297.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…9045backed 76ers | 29c | 258.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked 76ers | 30c | 250.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Celtics | 60c | 250.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…1468backed 76ers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…58b1backed 76ers | 46c | 241.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed 76ers | 12c | 236.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Celtics | 71c | 219.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed 76ers | 15c | 216.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…3442backed 76ers | 21c | 209.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…1e3abacked Celtics | 62c | 206.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked 76ers | 41c | 203.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Celtics | 61c | 178.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed 76ers | 31c | 166.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…6b43backed 76ers | 9c | 163.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +529.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked 76ers | 9c | 160$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…b789backed Celtics | 43c | 158.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Celtics | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…4eb1backed Celtics | 71c | 139.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…3f39backed 76ers | 29c | 138.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…c999backed 76ers | 44c | 135.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed 76ers | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 76ers | 12c | 125.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.