Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6280905e9a924a04d6182a385cd3dc414c93e02f4522b89b7aa5bf7aa1e59fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof Kansas Jayhawks, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 20,271$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 13,991$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 10,670$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.72 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.94 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 2,949$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Kansas Jayhawks | 12c | 2,385$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 2,355$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d11ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 6c | 1,744$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 1,635$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.41 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Kansas Jayhawks | 11c | 1,550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Kansas Jayhawks | 20c | 1,153$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 1,065$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 1,042$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 974.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 769.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 24c | 759.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 684.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…9215backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 523.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 20c | 498.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 22c | 454.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 441.16$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Kansas Jayhawks | 9c | 388.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…6e4fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 343.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Wildcats | 79c | 332.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 319.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380a…c51abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 13c | 313.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 298.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas Jayhawks | 12c | 267.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 11c | 247.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Arizona Wildcats | 79c | 237.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Wildcats | 75c | 201.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 198.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Arizona Wildcats | 72c | 198.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…6aa8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 7c | 191.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…3488backed Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 185.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…2387backed Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 153.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 127.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 127.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arizona Wildcats | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…417cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 117.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 111.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Kansas Jayhawks | 20c | 108.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 103.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 99.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 96.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Kansas Jayhawks | 22c | 90.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…5d0bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 87.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 12c | 84.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 81.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…6573backed Kansas Jayhawks | 15c | 71.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 21c | 63.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 58.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Arizona Wildcats | 72c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arizona Wildcats | 79c | 45.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 32.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Arizona Wildcats | 72c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcatsthis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.