Olympics · resolved market
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96794ee15732ad452363024848861d3e2dd39180d321c786c2e4f752be263d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 50c | 2,124$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,701$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,367$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 56c | 776.19$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.86 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed No | 41c | 667.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 60c | 646.3$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 53c | 527$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 39c | 469$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 368.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 59c | 248.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed No | 49c | 202.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…0ac4backed Yes | 64c | 194.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…bf41backed Yes | 62c | 186.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…2844backed Yes | 70c | 143.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 61c | 100.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 44c | 77.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…dc58backed No | 47c | 71.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 70.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 64.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…0ba4backed Yes | 60c | 58.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0889backed Yes | 62c | 55.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…1ce9backed No | 43c | 47.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 28c | 41.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 31c | 33.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…faf5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 32.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 61c | 32.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…1b29backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…184bbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…8195backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…01d7backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…eb06backed Yes | 51c | 26.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Yes | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 54c | 23.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…997ebacked Yes | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Japan win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.