Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c22891808cf683f3d44d810300af6926d63e5661739a649bc5113802ce93e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,650$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.86 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 29c | 1,109$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 69c | 1,069$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 46c | 1,009$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 804.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 29c | 766.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.61 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 33c | 500$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 66c | 323.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 321.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 57c | 310.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5921…3e13backed Yes | 36c | 279.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…d87fbacked Yes | 35c | 266.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 30c | 249$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 72c | 200.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf88…fcb0backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 30c | 190.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 34c | 183.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…0ba4backed Yes | 74c | 161.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 113.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 49c | 105.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed No | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 60c | 75.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…3aa5backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 41c | 44.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 47c | 42.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 38.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…997ebacked Yes | 40c | 37.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…4682backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…eb06backed Yes | 39c | 25.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked No | 70c | 22.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3023…b092backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…c695backed No | 72c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Japan win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.