World Politics · resolved market
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3378c1dfb636e2c8b64f4933f13a2b9321117d350e4a338b39113bc5535a95d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 75c | 4,290$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 4c | 3,520$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed No | 74c | 3,142$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 21c | 2,829$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,536$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yes | 7c | 2,413$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 27c | 2,296$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.77 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +252.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…225dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,899$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…56eebacked No | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 74c | 1,273$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.24 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 8c | 1,265$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…a65abacked Yes | 2c | 1,226$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…6725backed Yes | 6c | 960.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 4c | 960$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 929$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…fc1ebacked Yes | 29c | 771.95$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 770.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 15c | 770.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 5c | 720$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…8deebacked Yes | 3c | 720$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 34c | 711.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 6c | 677.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…d774backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 56c | 583.44$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 558.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…025bbacked Yes | 5c | 555.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 485.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…d4a6backed Yes | 4c | 480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 480$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 4c | 440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…11aebacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…12b5backed Yes | 21c | 371.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 5c | 360$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 50c | 336.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…b8bfbacked Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a30dbacked No | 72c | 277.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 5c | 255.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 14c | 255$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…34d2backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…7c2ebacked Yes | 22c | 226.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1d…55b9backed Yes | 49c | 202.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 50c | 182.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…711fbacked Yes | 60c | 166.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…7771backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 141.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…d35bbacked Yes | 11c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…9e9cbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 42c | 109.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…d804backed Yes | 19c | 106.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…bd3ebacked Yes | 80c | 106.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…0b07backed No | 74c | 104.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…aeb2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…445dbacked No | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…6d0dbacked No | 75c | 83.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 18c | 75.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 31c | 68.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3964…421cbacked Yes | 28c | 60.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 77c | 56.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked No | 73c | 55.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 48c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked No | 47c | 53.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…1253backed No | 77c | 52.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…62b0backed No | 70c | 52.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 74cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…7818backed No | 75c | 49.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 56c | 48.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 71c | 46.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…f495backed Yes | 33c | 45.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…6ec9backed No | 56c | 44.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 35c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…eabdbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…49c9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…704ebacked No | 74c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 44c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked No | 46c | 26.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.