Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ffd7d805b0ed66a2eac08484999851a67682ccc720618d7bd8a0b495f98990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 25c | 10,200$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,644.02 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 75c | 7,515$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.9 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 73c | 2,254$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.79 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 29c | 1,807$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.22 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 76c | 1,202$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,194$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.41 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 33c | 751.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked No | 73c | 609.3$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…747bbacked Yes | 27c | 563.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 8cpaid | +1,507.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 24c | 465.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…c9f6backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 258.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 238$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed No | 74c | 180$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…b530backed No | 77c | 159.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…444dbacked No | 73c | 95.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…fe6bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +496.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…a324backed No | 51c | 89.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…0cb5backed Yes | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,762.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked No | 80c | 46.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked No | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…b401backed No | 73c | 40.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…c1c5backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf17f…600cbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…da0cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…48c2backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 78c | 14.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 August 17-23?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 17-23?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 17-23?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.