TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6832…831fbacked Over54c14,768$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,803.6219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under43c7,702$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.8410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c5,481$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.522,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over57c4,050$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under68c3,688$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c3,488$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Under69c2,854$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under13c2,488$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.041,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c2,000$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,972$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c1,879$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over35c1,571$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.515435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over35c1,388$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c1,355$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over35c1,326$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under45c1,152$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Under5c1,043$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under6c1,020$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+179%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under37c1,005$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over32c1,000$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68511145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c991.36$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under52c844$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.885937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under65c815$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c799.11$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under44c725$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.735349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under50c724.48$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6221640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c684.39$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over31c524.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.181,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c463.14$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.781,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under17c448$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over33c385.75$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Under68c377.57$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5413759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Under54c371.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c367.11$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over48c366.38$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.522759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c352.12$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.211,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c344.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over64c296.06$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under71c281.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783066.7%20 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under8c270.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.731225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under43c267.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.281,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c261$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c252.06$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c250.05$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over59c246.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.815648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over59c244.27$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8521953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under25c236.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3df9…d4b5backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b47…7acebacked Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c196.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.051,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over60c191.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.784961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over35c187$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.61,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c180.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under25c180.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4518444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81be…43e6backed Under57c174.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over58c172.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under26c171.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Under26c171.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.45875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+104.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Under64c155.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under66c153.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c152.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under65c152.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over56c150.23$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over34c145.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8310545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over58c137.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.653855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c132.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over67c132$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5611555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b2d…be6cbacked Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.61844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Over34c130$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.82744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over59c125.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over58c122.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.54360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over58c121.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under43c121$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over60c118.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.684161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over60c117.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.964161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over53c116$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Under66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over34c113.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over30c107.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under65c106.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over58c104.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8628943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under39c102.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6922753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under43c100.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.329748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over63c100.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.591650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…4ec7backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Under50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over58c94.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.