Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa to score first vs. Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d66839fa9d49515fc49af6c76ec2d5cac74de385e714b421541fe3f3af76142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 4,085$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.5 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 36c | 2,486$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 72c | 2,259$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.33 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,728$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 37c | 1,581$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 1,545$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.42 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 35c | 1,234$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.86 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 28c | 811.76$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 507.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 24c | 447.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 30c | 429.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 71c | 406.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…2205backed Yes | 36c | 361.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 307.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 299.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 249.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…6cc1backed No | 73c | 244.72$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 80c | 194.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 65c | 194.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 27c | 173.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 37c | 167.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 163.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 28c | 153.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…bb6ebacked Yes | 34c | 143.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…24d1backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 136.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…338cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…8289backed Yes | 28c | 90.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…fa8cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd9…cc00backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 21c | 61.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 60.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 67c | 53.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 34c | 51.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 48.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce0…df67backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 40.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 39.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…09a7backed Yes | 28c | 38.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked No | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed No | 72c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 65c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…0a7abacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa to score first vs. Canada?this page
- Canada to score first vs. South Africa?Yes won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.