Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca76e5f8dbd48f5d4f915636dab4aec1cb3ed2d6b93bc423eb66a3c352cecc5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 3,617$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 2,750$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 20c | 2,108$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,060$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 1,800$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,754$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,609$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…c30cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…d8d5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…2b8ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,080$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 10c | 893.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 11c | 622.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 33c | 565.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cd…3170backed No | 80c | 533$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 14c | 509.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 12c | 501.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…e29fbacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 16c | 338.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 222.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 38c | 220$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…8316backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 14c | 177.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 165.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…6aa2backed Yes | 32c | 161.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…3256backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…dc6cbacked No | 33c | 127.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 9c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 26c | 113.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…100bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 106.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447a…a3e6backed Yes | 27c | 77.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 65c | 74.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 50c | 67.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…3378backed Yes | 35c | 57.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 80c | 53.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 46.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 28c | 40.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7df…bfefbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…cd50backed Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Yes | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a691backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7f…cb8bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?this page
- Canada to score first vs. South Africa?Yes won
- South Africa to score first vs. Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.