Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937d9bd267b25a53d8c4320103395cd9af44f55fc54928c2668524cfced273ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IR Iranof Egypt, IR Iran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Egypt | 6c | 13,331$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.34 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Egypt | 12c | 10,582$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.73 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Egypt | 5c | 9,186$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Egypt | 2c | 2,583$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Egypt | 5c | 2,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Egypt | 6c | 1,095$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…c33ebacked Egypt | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Egypt | 5c | 846.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Egypt | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Egypt | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Egypt | 5c | 798.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Egypt | 4c | 739.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b157backed Egypt | 6c | 700.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Egypt | 4c | 562.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Egypt | 3c | 526.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Egypt | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Egypt | 6c | 444.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Egypt | 9c | 402.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Egypt | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Egypt | 5c | 364.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Egypt | 5c | 285.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Egypt | 7c | 272$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Egypt | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Egypt | 8c | 229.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Egypt | 8c | 224$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Egypt | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Egypt | 8c | 135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Egypt | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)this page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.