Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a63d69c775a6d3c646c4c93f62667be762f23e4ef9d0da7476fc287d5a302fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 9,638$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 4,888$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…934abacked Under | 73c | 4,114$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 3,063$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.24 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,344$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 14c | 1,999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 13c | 1,821$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Under | 75c | 1,279$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.07 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 10c | 1,204$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 1,152$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 21c | 1,007$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 895.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…c1febacked Over | 11c | 840.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 805.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 13c | 666.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 445$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 9c | 398.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Over | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 17c | 342.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 20c | 303.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 15c | 224.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 11c | 191.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 106.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…d76dbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…68a4backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Over | 14c | 77.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 26c | 64.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 21c | 60.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 33c | 59.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Under | 76c | 26.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…3edcbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Under | 79c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5this page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.