TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks41c28,722$11,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,050.8472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.7625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs59c17,309$10,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,154.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks41c16,797$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.3935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs54c13,502$7,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,238.9955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks41c12,560$5,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,353.2131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks73c11,541$8,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.1530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Spurs59c8,813$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.749743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs23c8,406$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.646141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks41c8,208$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,842.7224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks41c7,803$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.715657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs59c6,837$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.0569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs59c5,600$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.6765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs60c4,167$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs59c4,100$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.4243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs37c4,003$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.451,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs59c3,800$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks48c3,738$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.682,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs58c3,668$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.9752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs58c3,487$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Spurs59c2,881$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7009950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks60c2,715$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs36c2,540$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.8142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks41c1,729$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.261,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Knicks41c1,571$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.063644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks41c1,407$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks34c1,407$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.2693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ddf0backed Spurs59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081225%3 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs66c1,103$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.261,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x84c6…618abacked Spurs57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs68c999.99$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.0836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs59c995.82$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4419959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs51c980.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks66c968.5$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs44c940.72$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.921,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks44c923.78$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.991,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks41c899.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53112146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs21c840.07$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs74c810.75$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks29c796.45$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks50c791$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.592,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks43c774.24$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Knicks42c759.74$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.657342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks38c696.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Spurs59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Spurs59c600.54$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Knicks57c579.96$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5520946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs58c557.7$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Spurs59c554.24$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3271127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Spurs59c505.56$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.286347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs55c500.04$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2908355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs43c465.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Spurs59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2369854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Spurs51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs58c399.95$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks42c390.44$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.461,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Spurs54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks44c357.14$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks53c356.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks48c315$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks41c309.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Knicks42c302.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Spurs59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17730641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks65c275$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs35c272.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs59c269.2$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.581,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Spurs49c264.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Spurs78c255.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd95…cb21backed Spurs59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Knicks42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Spurs31c206.19$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs59c202.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.471,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Knicks48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Knicks41c193$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.876051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs25c184.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2132654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks62c181.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks48c171.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.271,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs59c170.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs39c158.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…9939backed Spurs52c157.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks55c156.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf9…7a19backed Spurs59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs66c150.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb3…87b4backed Spurs59c142.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks27c139$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95cb…8c51backed Knicks42c137.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+74.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks44c136.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.