Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839cafbe2c2f4765ae2e76e9906aaa2eb89d000f652189a4150636bd5e7b6c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 58c | 2,517$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.24 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 2,112$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.93 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,527$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.34 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 855.75$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 66c | 557.39$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 66c | 466.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 151.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 67c | 141.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes | 68c | 132.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe205…d3c2backed Yes | 76c | 49.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…ea50backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 37.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Yes | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 67c | 26.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.