Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf454ebf58441fb32779a09ed33c44375e0e37d27fb15d839310ad05078316c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,915$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.24 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 1,237$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.1 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 64c | 1,073$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 36c | 549.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 35c | 298.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 64c | 231.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 41c | 231.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 67c | 218.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 198.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 42c | 172.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 56c | 159.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 44c | 143.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 72c | 138.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 59c | 130.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 25c | 112$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 102.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 29c | 62.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 46.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…aa2ebacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 74c | 37.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Under | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe205…d3c2backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.