Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3a49f86df7bd8cc2b91809172542f8acf8b3c6d83f606deb5180f51456fc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 49c | 7,357$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 34c | 6,000$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over | 50c | 4,976$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.37 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 49c | 4,651$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.14 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 44c | 3,620$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.17 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 50c | 3,162$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.89 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 1,757$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.98 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 69c | 1,496$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,271$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.95 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 57c | 1,124$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 989.48$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.11 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 950.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 866.61$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 840.66$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 52c | 825.53$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 42c | 728$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 587.41$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.83 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 48c | 508.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 64c | 365.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.89 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 43c | 314$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 286.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 58c | 283.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 43c | 227$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 211.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 204.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 65c | 198.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 164.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Over | 69c | 161.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Over | 69c | 153.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 144$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 42c | 130.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…f0b8backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 44c | 103$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 44c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 43c | 94.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 87.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 56c | 74.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 56c | 73.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 53c | 71.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Over | 43c | 69.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 45c | 66.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 42c | 58.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 41c | 56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 49.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 43c | 45.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 42c | 40.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Under | 45c | 37.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Over | 44c | 37.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 55c | 31.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 36c | 29.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 66c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 26.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 56c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Over | 58c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 18.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Under | 62c | 16.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.