Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b71f8e9e43be4a84a1090a63f910a91ec46dd361877e2812c34f4ea109d398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Taishan FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Shandong Taishan FC | 36c | 2,799$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.11 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 2,250$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Taishan FC | 45c | 1,450$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 21c | 797.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.86 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 413.47$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.62 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Shandong Taishan FC | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 47c | 399.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 79c | 393.75$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Shandong Taishan FC | 22c | 349.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Shandong Taishan FC | 36c | 295.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Taishan FC | 53c | 174$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 27c | 141.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shandong Taishan FC | 19c | 115.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 64c | 81.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 33c | 48.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 62c | 33.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 78c | 17.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 78c | 16.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.