Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe230fe34582f73ee1fae109fbb073c75ef0cd7f14a0d7a5d0d6dbf7dc2702e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 36c | 4,732$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 73c | 2,100$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 1,524$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,435$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 70c | 1,393$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.35 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 16c | 1,335$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 72c | 1,296$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.06 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 38c | 1,265$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.34 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 50c | 984.1$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Over | 80c | 919.89$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 40c | 624$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 14c | 502.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Under | 4c | 483.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Over | 52c | 381.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 12c | 183.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 54c | 139.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +84%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 84.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 63c | 73.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 42c | 71.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 52.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 45.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 59c | 42.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 33.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 33.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 62c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Under | 45c | 28.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 47c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 65c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.