TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d59…7c7d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.21
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.91
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$59.89
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.68
National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.17
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.93
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.88
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.28
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$85.85
Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wongbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$78.24
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$45.57
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.56
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.27
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.76
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$58.45
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.22
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.85
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$73.89
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$20.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$84.31
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$178.09
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$184.16
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.85
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$51.95
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.46
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.