Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166867222bc8e2b039143a9f638966a59b00b2659407c0137f0349772ff06e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Majchrzak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Majchrzak | 51c | 3,803$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Fritz | 49c | 3,355$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.93 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…e017backed Fritz | 53c | 2,271$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.62 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Majchrzak | 47c | 1,171$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.38 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Majchrzak | 50c | 1,141$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.05 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Majchrzak | 48c | 773.42$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.14 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Fritz | 50c | 570.4$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cb…585cbacked Fritz | 51c | 476$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Fritz | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…08edbacked Majchrzak | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Majchrzak | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Fritz | 49c | 132.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Majchrzak | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Fritz | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Majchrzak | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…7c7dbacked Fritz | 52c | 94.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fritz | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Majchrzak | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fritz | 52c | 61.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Fritz | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fritz | 49c | 36.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)this page
- Fritz vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil MajchrzakTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs MajchrzakFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs MajchrzakFritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.