Tennis · resolved market
Prague: Andrew Paulson vs Norbert Gombos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6224d6d392388f194c9e7f16c759497cfb326fa10e39f56a6673dad013dcad93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norbert Gombosof Andrew Paulson, Norbert Gombos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrew Paulson | 34c | 20,109$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrew Paulson | 25c | 18,157$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.65 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Norbert Gombos | 73c | 18,053$13,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.95 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Norbert Gombos | 64c | 6,574$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.34 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andrew Paulson | 27c | 5,095$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.94 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andrew Paulson | 21c | 4,600$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.88 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrew Paulson | 9c | 1,888$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrew Paulson | 26c | 1,654$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.89 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Norbert Gombos | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Norbert Gombos | 69c | 1,045$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Norbert Gombos | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Norbert Gombos | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Norbert Gombos | 60c | 448.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Andrew Paulson | 32c | 433.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Andrew Paulson | 22c | 387.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Norbert Gombos | 66c | 380.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norbert Gombos | 76c | 329.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…7cf5backed Andrew Paulson | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Norbert Gombos | 79c | 288$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norbert Gombos | 79c | 256.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Norbert Gombos | 74c | 255.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…e5e6backed Norbert Gombos | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Norbert Gombos | 80c | 203.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andrew Paulson | 33c | 200.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Norbert Gombos | 74c | 191.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andrew Paulson | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Andrew Paulson | 15c | 149.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Norbert Gombos | 68c | 147.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Norbert Gombos | 62c | 128.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Andrew Paulson | 36c | 124.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Norbert Gombos | 78c | 119.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Norbert Gombos | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrew Paulson | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Norbert Gombos | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Norbert Gombos | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Andrew Paulson | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Andrew Paulson | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…d8debacked Norbert Gombos | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrew Paulson | 33c | 81.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrew Paulson | 42c | 65.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Norbert Gombos | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Andrew Paulson | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Norbert Gombos | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 306 | 49.7%152 W · 154 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Norbert Gombos | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Andrew Paulson | 32c | 43.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Andrew Paulson | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Norbert Gombos | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…1b4bbacked Norbert Gombos | 76c | 33.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Norbert Gombos | 79c | 31.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 148 | 75.7%112 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andrew Paulson | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…eb01backed Norbert Gombos | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.