MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa310857073c4d7d5213d310878f2aef1b4d12846e006f4f29b4cb4253f19f348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Houston Astros, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Houston Astros | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.94 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 138,205$76,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,192.38 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 88,888$49,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,110.7 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 41c | 66,385$27,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,313.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 48,780$28,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 27c | 30,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 13,888$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Houston Astros | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 44c | 10,426$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.02 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 9,851$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Houston Astros | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 6,568$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 6,300$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.84 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 6,098$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 44c | 5,873$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 5,387$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…dcedbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 5,111$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 5,089$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.29 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 4,878$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 4,811$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.92 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 4,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 4,468$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 4,413$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 4,006$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.84 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,803$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 3,659$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 2,995$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.89 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 2,850$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,226$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.59 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,093$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.16 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,032$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,757$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,677$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,547$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.74 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,541$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.04 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,462$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.42 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,217$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,203$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,187$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,051$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,026$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.44 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 953.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.59 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 902.59$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.14 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Houston Astros | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 840.36$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.32 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 44c | 816$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 25c | 786.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 760.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 721.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Houston Astros | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 610.67$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 592$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 590$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 23c | 587$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Houston Astros | 44c | 567.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 534.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Houston Astros | 44c | 503.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 444.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Houston Astros | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 45c | 390$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 22c | 360$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Houston Astros | 26c | 332.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 306.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 26c | 288.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 287.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 280$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 269.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…b48fbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 44c | 250$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 37c | 239.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-6.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.