MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8b7574e58bf1cecf75196da853d9eba926015775fa2091570092b164d8c6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 258,801$121,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,895.93 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 77,168$40,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,272.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 19,767$10,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,163.91 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 53c | 18,888$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,877.36 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 50c | 18,000$8,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,042.92 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 12,766$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,639.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 12,200$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 53c | 12,000$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.86 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 9,921$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 6,880$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 6,200$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 5,745$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 5,195$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,500$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 3,904$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 3,885$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.25 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 2,964$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 2,958$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.96 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 2,817$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.69 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 2,609$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.23 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 2,474$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.26 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 2,303$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under | 46c | 2,213$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 2,072$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.84 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 2,056$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.98 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 1,916$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 53c | 1,704$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.98 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 50c | 1,404$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.82 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,388$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 1,210$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.68 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 53c | 1,210$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 1,145$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.24 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 976.16$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 46c | 976$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 46c | 976$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 975$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.35 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 944.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 883.75$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Under | 46c | 743.83$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 715.24$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 579.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 51c | 571.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 548.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 53c | 530.15$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 455.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 53c | 440$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.26 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 72c | 391.48$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 49c | 373.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 341.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Under | 65c | 307.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 253.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 241.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 46c | 219.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 201.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 50c | 192.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 183.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Over | 50c | 150.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 41c | 132.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Over | 50c | 132.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 43c | 116.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 67c | 114.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 55c | 113.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 53c | 112$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 68c | 99.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 98.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 55c | 97.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 43c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 59c | 89.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 54c | 80.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 48c | 78.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 51c | 74.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 65.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-6.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.