TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Pacersof Indiana Pacers, Cleveland Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd599…c994backed Cleveland Cavaliers60c65,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Indiana Pacers58c36,884$21,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,380.531,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Indiana Pacers40c29,989$11,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,993.519349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Cavaliers0c8,490$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.895502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Pacers42c5,688$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.141,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Cleveland Cavaliers3c2,779$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Cavaliers1c2,739$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.077502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Pacers58c2,387$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.9422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Cavaliers4c2,150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.425954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Pacers40c2,146$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Indiana Pacers78c1,213$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.555354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Cleveland Cavaliers27c1,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Indiana Pacers61c1,032$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Cavaliers60c1,016$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.138344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Indiana Pacers40c1,002$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Cleveland Cavaliers26c999.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.065844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Indiana Pacers59c884.91$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Indiana Pacers31c880.35$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.6725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Cleveland Cavaliers59c754.37$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0833150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Cleveland Cavaliers63c659.98$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.5816664.5%107 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2e…8895backed Cleveland Cavaliers79c636.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Cleveland Cavaliers9c557.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Cleveland Cavaliers3c517.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Indiana Pacers42c478.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Pacers67c468.46$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.868654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Cleveland Cavaliers37c451.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.958657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Cavaliers32c448.23$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Pacers64c387.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Cleveland Cavaliers27c376.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.62837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Cleveland Cavaliers58c353.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Cleveland Cavaliers58c345.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…645fbacked Cleveland Cavaliers29c341.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Indiana Pacers79c339.67$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.825076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Pacers40c337.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cleveland Cavaliers30c332.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8731249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Cleveland Cavaliers32c311.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Cleveland Cavaliers73c298.06$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2411242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Indiana Pacers77c283.95$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.219851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Cleveland Cavaliers68c277.46$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Indiana Pacers44c266.3$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Indiana Pacers78c256.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6524937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aca…5d2bbacked Cleveland Cavaliers51c246.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Indiana Pacers78c239.66$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.893920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Indiana Pacers75c204.41$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.382781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Indiana Pacers33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1345143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Indiana Pacers67c195$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…351dbacked Cleveland Cavaliers60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Indiana Pacers34c151.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.53046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe149…ac8cbacked Indiana Pacers32c143.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.391421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Indiana Pacers70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Cleveland Cavaliers73c137.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Cleveland Cavaliers36c137.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Cleveland Cavaliers74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007761%47 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Indiana Pacers67c129.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Indiana Pacers72c125.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304c…def8backed Cleveland Cavaliers31c116.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Cleveland Cavaliers67c113.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Cleveland Cavaliers60c100.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Cleveland Cavaliers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Indiana Pacers35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6516045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Indiana Pacers68c92.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1817458%101 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Cleveland Cavaliers41c91.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.618844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Cavaliers67c84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.282,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Indiana Pacers32c73.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Pacers41c70.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Indiana Pacers70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Cleveland Cavaliers53c69.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Indiana Pacers41c66.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Cleveland Cavaliers30c65.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Cleveland Cavaliers33c65.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9418930.7%58 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Indiana Pacers40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664f…868cbacked Cleveland Cavaliers31c63.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Cleveland Cavaliers19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Cleveland Cavaliers47c51.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4331954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Indiana Pacers41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Indiana Pacers41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Cleveland Cavaliers66c45.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94110%0 W · 11 L-7.5wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Indiana Pacers46c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+103.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Indiana Pacers40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Cleveland Cavaliers34c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Indiana Pacers44c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.366761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b6…7576backed Indiana Pacers77c30.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Indiana Pacers40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Cleveland Cavaliers77c29.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Indiana Pacers39c28.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Indiana Pacers71c28.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Indiana Pacers73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e81…b4cebacked Cleveland Cavaliers77c20.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Cleveland Cavaliers67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410148.5%49 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Indiana Pacers58c18.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed Cleveland Cavaliers69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0721354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0712059.2%71 W · 49 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0710554.3%57 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0716046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Indiana Pacers73c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.079655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.