Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Martyna Kubka vs Valentina Ryser
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db644c48cd6e33e6d30b61a78ce851f49bb7fc2dfcaddc11726a221bdbccf66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Ryserof Martyna Kubka, Valentina Ryser
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martyna Kubka | 21c | 11,035$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valentina Ryser | 77c | 9,388$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentina Ryser | 34c | 1,223$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Martyna Kubka | 68c | 999.87$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.91 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Martyna Kubka | 67c | 971.12$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.48 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Valentina Ryser | 50c | 779.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Valentina Ryser | 32c | 755.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martyna Kubka | 64c | 712.24$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valentina Ryser | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Valentina Ryser | 37c | 575.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Valentina Ryser | 69c | 443.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martyna Kubka | 44c | 378.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Martyna Kubka | 51c | 378.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Valentina Ryser | 34c | 365.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Martyna Kubka | 62c | 324.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Valentina Ryser | 34c | 279.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martyna Kubka | 62c | 272.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 267.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Valentina Ryser | 29c | 261.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Martyna Kubka | 65c | 237.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Valentina Ryser | 59c | 220.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Martyna Kubka | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Martyna Kubka | 66c | 149.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Martyna Kubka | 66c | 144.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valentina Ryser | 72c | 108.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martyna Kubka | 51c | 105.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Valentina Ryser | 32c | 104.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Martyna Kubka | 26c | 99.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 86.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martyna Kubka | 29c | 79.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Valentina Ryser | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martyna Kubka | 63c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Valentina Ryser | 36c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Martyna Kubka | 54c | 72.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Valentina Ryser | 58c | 72.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Valentina Ryser | 35c | 67.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Martyna Kubka | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Valentina Ryser | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Martyna Kubka | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 59.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martyna Kubka | 24c | 54.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Martyna Kubka | 30c | 45.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Martyna Kubka | 72c | 40.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Martyna Kubka | 65c | 38.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Valentina Ryser | 32c | 36.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Valentina Ryser | 35c | 32.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Valentina Ryser | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Martyna Kubka | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Valentina Ryser | 79c | 28.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 455 | 64.6%294 W · 161 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martyna Kubka | 46c | 28.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…d4ebbacked Martyna Kubka | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Martyna Kubka | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Martyna Kubka | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Valentina Ryser | 44c | 25.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Valentina Ryser | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Martyna Kubka | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Martyna Kubka | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Martyna Kubka | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 17.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Valentina Ryser | 75c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.