TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Toronto Blue Jays41c9,987$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,892.0418241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels41c6,441$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.78,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays59c4,343$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.876,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays45c3,979$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.2811,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels35c3,343$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels59c2,889$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.793,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Angels33c2,346$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.191,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays56c2,100$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.783,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Angels59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels33c1,734$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.2812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Toronto Blue Jays70c1,707$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9225066.4%166 W · 84 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays62c1,593$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.068,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,396$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.582,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels45c1,301$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays58c1,133$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.835,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,100$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.968355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,058$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.581,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,005$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.8556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5905,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59073748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels40c938.35$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.492,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels59c690.39$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.332,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Toronto Blue Jays68c570$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.41,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Los Angeles Angels57c550$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Los Angeles Angels59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.813851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays69c448.56$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.662,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Angels28c436.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles Angels25c432$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels59c420$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays68c408.45$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.534,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2366,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels35c280.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.161,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7599…4293backed Los Angeles Angels35c256.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.741338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Toronto Blue Jays41c232.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3194648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Los Angeles Angels59c211.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays41c195.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1279543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Toronto Blue Jays40c159.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Toronto Blue Jays41c145.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8220764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Angels47c145.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2582551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels59c139.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.591,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Toronto Blue Jays56c134.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2470154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Los Angeles Angels36c119.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7320852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels30c114.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Los Angeles Angels38c106.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.552240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Angels59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels35c93.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.74,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels37c93.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.716,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Angels39c90.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.531,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Toronto Blue Jays41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3716345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Los Angeles Angels41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355540%22 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Toronto Blue Jays41c78.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.123540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays59c78.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.079,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels58c77.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Los Angeles Angels59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Toronto Blue Jays63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.756647%31 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Angels35c68.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2484122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Los Angeles Angels33c68.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.637143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1221353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Toronto Blue Jays41c60.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4166448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Los Angeles Angels40c50.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0629047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa582…8ec0backed Toronto Blue Jays41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays41c46.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.334,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Los Angeles Angels59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Angels59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Los Angeles Angels32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.845749%224 W · 233 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels33c38.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592564%16 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+48.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Toronto Blue Jays42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.717450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Toronto Blue Jays45c32.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8822554.7%123 W · 102 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels57c31.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.118,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Toronto Blue Jays78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.728484.5%71 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Toronto Blue Jays66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1854651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x289c…c79fbacked Toronto Blue Jays69c14.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.