MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228daee623603e1edf9c7f74c051a1c8011f1a10ab1bd6c4e9d96407b07b254b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Over | 51c | 39,181$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,982.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 37,164$18,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,582.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 31,426$15,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,923.51 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 11,807$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.67 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 7,857$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 4,261$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 4,152$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.14 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 3,274$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 3,233$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,974$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,844$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 2,618$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.82 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,407$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 1,727$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.94 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 50c | 1,720$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 33c | 1,522$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 1,401$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.81 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 51c | 1,375$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.25 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 1,047$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 974.8$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 41c | 944.42$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 930$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 826.14$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 648.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 580.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 547.34$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 420.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 404.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 400.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 50c | 340.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 310.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 38c | 284.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 276.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 38c | 258.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 242.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 57c | 237.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 217.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 64c | 216$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 50c | 206.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 206.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 38c | 205$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 33c | 193.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 165.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 156.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 34c | 144.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 126.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 51c | 96.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 95.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 63c | 81.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…14d6backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Under | 66c | 77.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 68.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 50c | 67.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 71c | 64.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.