TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No60c2,618$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes58c2,434$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.4610657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,208$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c1,829$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c1,664$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.351,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes40c1,468$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.393850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes48c1,400$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7223881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c1,337$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.8951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes51c1,318$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.139562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed No61c1,304$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No62c1,288$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7995646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No68c1,132$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.886355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes45c961.83$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.365062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes39c869.23$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.234825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No61c814.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes40c737.11$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No17c724.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes36c529.14$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1410750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No4c501.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No49c494.4$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No58c488.94$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.921,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No62c461.29$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2844831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91aa…0209backed Yes37c459.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes44c452.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c424.62$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.461,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes37c415.91$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.857839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes43c397.93$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0621132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes69c371.76$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.71,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes28c353.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2811127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No60c246.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No5c230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No61c220.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes40c212.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.54456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c206.16$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes49c202.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.493151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c187.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0740242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2913247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f5…6710backed Yes42c159.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No61c159.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No52c152.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1510249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes39c152.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8639127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.588149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.642948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No57c113$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked No60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes37c105.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed No61c98.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes34c93.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes33c90.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.956958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed No55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed No53c90.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af0…a4d3backed No59c89.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes39c88.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No63c79.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c78.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.181,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1579backed No64c76.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes37c75.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Yes29c74.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.191553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5e…b61abacked No59c71.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes41c70.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6412535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes37c68.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4818743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes26c67.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2834155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes39c67.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0524665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes46c66.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.135552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c66.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes27c65.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes27c65.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes39c64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes38c63.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes41c62.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.119953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c61.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No61c60.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes41c58.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.949344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes46c58.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.853948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes43c57.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No65c56.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7229047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes44c55.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No70c53.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0315424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes39c52.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c51.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1632…ad5abacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…4248backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ec…f2a9backed Yes27c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked Yes49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c49.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d9…3ef9backed Yes40c49.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.