South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5df6a6d139fd6a292e32732018ca6344ef40eed81764fe55ed96832cce7c127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,250$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 65c | 1,069$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 993.49$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 778.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 62c | 515.84$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 455.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 27c | 246.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes | 32c | 230.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 215.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 166.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 38c | 125.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Yes | 62c | 97.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 47c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 41c | 92.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes | 75c | 67.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 62.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 40c | 58.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 50.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 50.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…49c0backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 44.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 67c | 41.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 40.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 39.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed No | 68c | 30.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…84b7backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af7…6b44backed No | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Yes | 64c | 18.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…1b08backed Yes | 67c | 17.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 63c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.