MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f15a142d27c5bb9f10fb669af9eacf1b89f1cd30c284e5588f731040e6f8851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 75,544$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,544.15 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 66,613$35,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,963.66 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 62,605$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,604.53 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 55,357$16,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,393.74 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 25,125$12,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,758.51 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 19,320$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,320.21 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 18,261$10,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,408.79 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 15,563$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.32 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 12,010$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 11,476$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.36 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 8,196$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.98 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 7,184$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.32 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 6,818$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.03 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 6,497$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.77 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 6,214$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.93 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 5,957$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 4,483$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.1 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 4,333$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.59 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 3,782$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.81 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 3,765$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 3,666$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.26 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.4 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 3,483$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 3,457$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.14 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 3,372$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 3,276$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 3,145$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.86 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 2,657$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 2,336$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.46 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,300$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…bee8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,291$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,255$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.94 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,140$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.8 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,067$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.7 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,997$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.81 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,934$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.03 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,844$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.43 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,722$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,648$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,595$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.3 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.34 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,463$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 80c | 1,110$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.66 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 1,100$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked San Francisco Giants | 9c | 1,072$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 999.97$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 971.34$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 940.15$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.01 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants | 78c | 926.16$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.48 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 885.08$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…2c3dbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 839.28$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 790$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 735.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 700.13$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.18 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 699.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 697.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 635.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 613.56$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.55 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 582.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 571.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 552$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 548.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 543$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 542$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 531.62$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 487.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 453.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 428.13$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 404$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 402.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 352.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 344.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 325$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 324.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 319.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 307$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 303.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 300.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.