South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f328a9557d0634689aa2e28c5c24a8ae411192805c067a3aac1632460b09e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,377$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 1,097$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.15 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 603.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 18c | 588.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…ab1bbacked No | 38c | 475.63$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 43c | 470.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 428.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 379.62$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 58c | 369.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 28c | 341.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed No | 6c | 336.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 333.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 247.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 238.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 233.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 208.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 170.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 43c | 151.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 114.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 79c | 112.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 41c | 97.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 91.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 42c | 87.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed No | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…b0aebacked Yes | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 58c | 69.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 43c | 69.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 38c | 60.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 59.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 42c | 59.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 31c | 54.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 69c | 53.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 53.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4a78backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…3f22backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 46.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed No | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…d0a4backed Yes | 44c | 40.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 58c | 38.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 37.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 42c | 34.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 20.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.