MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcffc9fb6051cbc3db85bdb6d640288e01b6d56f35d19ec0cc539a96bd6d1f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 154,000$67,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,759.95 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 78,955$44,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,739.98 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 16,624$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 13,475$8,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.34 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 11,466$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 8,828$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.17 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 7,339$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 6,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,354$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.51 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,940$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,702$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.91 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,055$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,447$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 3,366$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,031$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.64 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,976$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.26 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,403$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,301$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.52 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 2,008$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 1,853$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,820$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,661$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,287$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.15 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,017$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 1,014$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 999.93$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 981.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 978.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 863.6$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 799.96$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 739.95$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 609.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.17 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 545.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 532.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 528.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 489.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 478.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 470.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 447.15$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 432.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…f68bbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 422.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 403.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 400.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 393.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 372.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 367.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 364.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 337.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 333$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 304.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 293.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 278.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 270.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 267.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 255.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 236.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 229.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 195.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 190.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 181.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 154.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 148.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 148.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 140$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 137$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.