TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes53c73,291$38,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,957.4229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No48c23,597$11,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,380.325543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No47c10,856$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.698351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No46c7,520$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.88643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c6,559$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.058,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.747556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c5,608$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes22c4,552$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.065,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No78c2,676$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c2,661$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes39c2,373$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes69c2,271$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.1810657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No43c1,821$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.572035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c1,758$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.151,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes47c1,555$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.8116647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes48c1,508$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No46c1,305$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9527349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,187$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.711,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b2…0f1ebacked No50c1,166$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No46c1,018$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.2727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c1,014$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c1,013$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.191,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c994.51$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.191,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes52c953.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No49c853.25$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.256555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No74c831.89$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No62c707.87$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.173754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes55c622$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No59c614.1$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8826745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c556.76$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.951,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No72c520.91$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.619349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes56c421.54$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.063246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes52c382.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes50c374$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1874967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes40c369.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.31,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes37c369$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.293650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9231827%86 W · 232 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c320.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No46c315.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1110467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed No51c298.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c293.08$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.011,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes37c272.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c264.45$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.751,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c245.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5346530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No49c211.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes17c210$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No48c209.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No54c199.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No47c195$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c189.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes54c184.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.815345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes20c163.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1225625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes54c155.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.532,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.37950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes43c147.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes57c140.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes41c139.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3616842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91aa…0209backed Yes8c137.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes51c131.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.664645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.877055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes47c127.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506654.5%36 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No46c106.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf4…d0cfbacked Yes48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7436…7a51backed Yes56c101.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.698339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c97.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No74c88.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.973366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No46c78.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2212948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes42c71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.821,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fc…bcfdbacked No44c65.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b1…94acbacked Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.610966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes54c55.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.162462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes32c53.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes56c51.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.15648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed No60c51.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.622969%20 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No47c50.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.