South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b5ae16bd7ba1cfa003ad87bbf076f04f3f392bf028a3ebae98386ca0a7a75a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 19c | 22,424$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 49c | 3,478$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.96 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 15c | 3,280$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 2,196$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,314$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 21c | 960.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 19c | 770$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 30c | 724.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 18c | 553.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 461.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Yes | 18c | 444$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 358.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 73c | 344.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 298.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 79c | 279.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Yes | 16c | 254.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 205.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 22c | 175.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…3930backed Yes | 18c | 167.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…6297backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 49c | 135.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e39…5cc0backed Yes | 21c | 126.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 17c | 118.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 118.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 21c | 114.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 15c | 94.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 14c | 92.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 72c | 84.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 72c | 71.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 62.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 31c | 61.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 29c | 36.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 19.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 60c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 74c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 17.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.