TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c10,575$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.8119952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x540d…122bbacked Yes62c10,000$6,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,180.26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c3,422$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.98,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c2,513$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.031,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+152.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes21c1,893$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6111230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c1,651$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.141,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c1,554$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.22,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c1,530$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.722,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Yes1c1,513$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.133234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes66c1,391$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.0642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Yes64c1,331$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No37c1,091$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5816647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c1,012$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No73c1,007$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.894669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes69c734.71$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.594141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes44c678.05$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5515326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes63c606.87$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c537.86$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No43c517.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.166946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd1…917ebacked Yes12c483.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No61c438.02$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes2c434.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No34c398.78$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.651,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c389.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.441,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c388$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.12,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No64c384.61$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes17c361.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes67c340.28$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes43c339.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5110249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No39c306.48$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1248922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c274.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.821,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes16c241.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No34c228$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4812757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No29c210.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No43c207$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1316740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes35c199.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7825044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No51c195.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4315768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c187.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes9c186.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes23c175$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No32c173.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0410157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.063333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No34c146$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3613545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes72c141.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No35c131.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1118452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.214254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c111.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes68c107.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.363243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes48c102.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.941145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No50c100.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.756955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes67c100.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1714945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6110946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No37c99.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c99.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.641,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No21c88.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.25650%28 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Yes67c83.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed No57c78.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed No63c78.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes45c77.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No61c76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6410875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes20c75.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes41c72.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes75c70.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes21c66.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No77c65.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.227748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes68c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.125867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes80c58.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.764645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No34c57.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6523057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes43c56.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c51.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No52c47.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.778100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No33c46.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.368439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No29c45.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes64c44.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.386656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No34c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0413062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes39c42.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No29c41.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2617560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes41c38.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8429047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c36.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes40c36.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4520059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked No58c34.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.683259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No54c32.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.134075%30 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No64c31.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.293366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed No53c31.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes61c30.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.