Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a84d21ec909c04c53d476f5781a9e42a5952d30cf1e69d8cc8da35435617ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 13,177$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.57 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 9,379$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 28c | 6,816$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.63 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 5,981$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 14c | 4,692$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,586$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.32 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 59c | 4,212$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed No | 30c | 3,424$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 68c | 2,827$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.87 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 65c | 2,396$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 2,198$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 1,857$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 1,836$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,825$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.11 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 43c | 1,260$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,224$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 15c | 1,206$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 55c | 1,122$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 14c | 990.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 24c | 949.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 58c | 824.28$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 74c | 802.49$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 70c | 794.11$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 59c | 774.58$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 64c | 769.99$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Yes | 73c | 756.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 15c | 666.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 631.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 607.64$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 71c | 581.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 70c | 571.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 33c | 559$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Yes | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 68c | 530$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Yes | 61c | 502.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Yes | 72c | 486.14$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…1c15backed Yes | 72c | 429.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 31c | 409.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed No | 16c | 404$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 393.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…ffe2backed Yes | 72c | 359.14$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…b59ebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 46c | 295$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 288.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 11c | 287.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…28acbacked Yes | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…f491backed No | 36c | 277.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 69c | 275.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Yes | 58c | 255$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 69c | 250$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 29c | 249.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 7c | 246$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 75c | 245.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 79c | 232$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 62c | 226.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…7cc9backed No | 18c | 218.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 46c | 217.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 72c | 215.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…e551backed No | 19c | 210.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…075fbacked Yes | 37c | 203.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…9d83backed No | 18c | 201.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…cdc3backed Yes | 77c | 201.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 57c | 175.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 71c | 170.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…7852backed Yes | 68c | 164.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Yes | 62c | 164.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 67c | 161.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…af2fbacked No | 31c | 160.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 63c | 154.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…8f57backed No | 35c | 154.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…6317backed No | 31c | 153$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14a…63cabacked No | 33c | 151.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…b0aabacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…ed41backed No | 18c | 148.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…87b6backed No | 32c | 144.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Yes | 69c | 144.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 15c | 141.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 54c | 141.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 74c | 140.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…b43abacked No | 35c | 137.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 70c | 133.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.