Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810b937b6a58d8d11f6884cbc292d327963202e6ffb76f5d59d7ba0a3b2fc6f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 16,081$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.72 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 13,120$8,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 46c | 7,375$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 6,379$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 1,815$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.85 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 53c | 1,160$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.76 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 66c | 855.57$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 76c | 751.33$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 734.91$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 78c | 687.41$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 28c | 489.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 80c | 466.28$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.02 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 74c | 463.72$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 384.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 46c | 298.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 55c | 280.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 21c | 236$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 20c | 230.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 201.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 24c | 189.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 36c | 124.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 23c | 105.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 100.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed Yes | 23c | 99.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 76c | 58.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 33c | 56.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 79c | 46.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 68c | 44.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 50c | 36.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 74c | 34.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…28d3backed Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 27.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 40c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 80c | 24.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Yes | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed No | 80c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 77c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur end in a draw?Yes won
- Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.