Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cadf6c1fccc2f7c5141be0fc319d4c8b149fbf561e7320507083544618bab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 57c | 6,194$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.38 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 3,441$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.16 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 2,341$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 2c | 823.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 524.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 45c | 337.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed No | 59c | 333.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 73c | 291.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 25c | 231.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 46c | 227.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 120.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 51c | 92.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 28c | 39.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 39.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur end in a draw?Yes won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.