TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6fc…cf21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$9.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.33
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.1
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.51
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$76.95
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$48.23
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$56.41
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$48.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+174%+$68.26
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.01
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$113.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will FK Panevėžys win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$76.92
Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+346.3%+$64.07
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Santa Coloma win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Iowa Stormboar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Wampirki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+961.2%+$192.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$72.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$89.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AIK win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.