Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeba1fb0b4bfcee5ada006c33a9863a8322a537316899f2c899d803219f5d9ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 5,145$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.15 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 4c | 3,970$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.84 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 53c | 3,751$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.42 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 56c | 2,888$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.12 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 2,389$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 15c | 1,836$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,807$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 5c | 1,711$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.93 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 74c | 1,706$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.82 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 57c | 1,376$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Yes | 5c | 1,294$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +978.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 5c | 1,248$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 1,141$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.44 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 1,109$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.06 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 18c | 1,094$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 4c | 1,032$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 62c | 871$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.97 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 764.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 712.8$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.49 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 601.64$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.31 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 551.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 76c | 530$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 457.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 400.35$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 51c | 349.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 56c | 339.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 5c | 280$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 20c | 237.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 35c | 221$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 9c | 210$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 7c | 205.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 25c | 194.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 173.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 38c | 168.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 14c | 167.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…a9acbacked Yes | 14c | 146.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 36c | 125.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 32c | 125.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 115$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 106.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed No | 66c | 103.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 68c | 102.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 94.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 55c | 90.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 22c | 82.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 35c | 73.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 64c | 69.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 16c | 69.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 66.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 68c | 66.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 21c | 62.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 68c | 43.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 36c | 43.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 46c | 41.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 60c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 29.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 65c | 24.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed No | 63c | 16.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FCSB vs. FK Auda end in a draw?No won
- Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.