Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB vs. FK Auda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478e260d43787bc515663e67567d561676bdaec9dde87c3be8506c8f614c4bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 3,757$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.93 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 3,687$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 2,666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 11c | 2,272$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 50c | 1,017$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 959.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 31c | 959.25$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 943.38$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.82 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 34c | 807.94$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 11c | 769.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Yes | 68c | 707.28$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 595.64$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 32c | 561$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.14 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 39c | 558.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.96 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 487.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 469.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.96 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 11c | 454.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 432$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 11c | 408.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 312.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 21c | 299.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 58c | 209$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 11c | 198.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 6c | 187.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 24c | 175.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 10c | 171$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 69c | 161$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 11c | 159.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 42c | 158$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 35c | 151.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 151.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 66c | 151.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 11c | 139.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 117.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 65.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 52.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 33c | 45.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 41.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 55c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB vs. FK Auda end in a draw?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.