Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fdc25d454c84533315dccb63ef20ef0d2d55068d1f9be2e2696629caf1619b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 12,557$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.22 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 4,718$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.39 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,642$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.93 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 3,506$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 2,150$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 1,269$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 697.17$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 602.21$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 387.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 43c | 293.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 290.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 70c | 285.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 30c | 280.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 254$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 254$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 35c | 156.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…634bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 124$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 58c | 102.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 67c | 91.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 79.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 58.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 63c | 55.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 52.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 64c | 49.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Yes | 63c | 46.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 65c | 46.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 44.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 43.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 41.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…b953backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 33.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…09cebacked Yes | 64c | 30.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01a…1517backed No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 63c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 64c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 76c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…8645backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.