Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9307ee1acc7122b46b07edaed21bab032ac7b86fa2a8c5bf1e31af72df373f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 1,370$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,146$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 74c | 766.19$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 41c | 324.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 294.38$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 292.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…46d8backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 61c | 130.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 35c | 130.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 18c | 116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 77.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 62c | 71.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 34c | 67.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 57.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 66c | 57.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 36c | 52.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 49.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…09cebacked Yes | 75c | 44.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 41.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 43c | 40.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 43c | 40.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 38c | 36.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 43c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 37c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Yes | 48c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 39c | 31.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 61c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 47c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.