TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WBTof SAW, WBT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…4e6abacked WBT55c684.47$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2626554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW24c620.29$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed WBT68c553.36$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.764,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WBT77c537.02$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.366,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW17c534$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked SAW16c517.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.211,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SAW4c506.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.575,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked WBT65c500$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.112,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked WBT74c500$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.163,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed SAW11c492.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.887330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked SAW42c411$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4132840.2%132 W · 196 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SAW14c404.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.342,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed WBT55c394.74$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6335153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed SAW27c391.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed WBT53c365.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9712271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked SAW31c360.16$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.241,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed SAW18c359.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.11,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW27c352.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed SAW42c351.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW23c334.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.681,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked WBT59c332.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.25882.8%48 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed SAW46c327.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15246354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SAW4c324.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1974633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed WBT78c319.16$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.014,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed SAW33c315.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.261,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed WBT67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5112157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked WBT56c280$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6415455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed SAW40c279.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.462,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed SAW44c241.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5418645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked WBT71c228.87$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…f042backed WBT66c227.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed WBT56c223.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1630949.2%152 W · 157 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SAW33c212.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.572,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed SAW35c211$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7428355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed SAW44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed SAW46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917150.9%87 W · 84 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SAW23c132.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.414,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed SAW44c131.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.97946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed WBT53c131.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5113655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked WBT61c131.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW37c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.872,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed WBT66c116.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7869732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed SAW45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9525052.8%132 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked SAW35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.911639.7%46 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.73,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked WBT70c107.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.333145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked SAW33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…6167backed SAW38c99.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.058150.6%41 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed WBT60c97.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.061560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked WBT78c95.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.092,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6fc…cf21backed SAW16c92.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed WBT56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.283275%24 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed WBT60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW28c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.282,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed WBT75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked WBT79c67.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.379347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed WBT53c64.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.121,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SAW19c59.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked SAW43c59.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.496152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdcb…5ffabacked SAW37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked SAW31c50.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8142149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked SAW43c48.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0327740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT70c46.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.277,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x232f…ccb4backed WBT64c46.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6b…218bbacked SAW44c43.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-66.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SAW33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed WBT54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed WBT66c37.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9651969.2%359 W · 160 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed SAW30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked WBT66c32.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed SAW41c30.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.648035%28 W · 52 L-13.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed SAW38c30.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked WBT71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7413751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked SAW42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7611345.1%51 W · 62 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked WBT75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.679764.9%63 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked WBT76c21.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1874653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed WBT66c20.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9916363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked WBT74c16.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.221,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked WBT78c15.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4127156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed WBT76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.