CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f203d103793d389240bc33ed899e1c878e1fbf58e69c3fcb2ab37c519ad3b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked WBT | 56c | 3,357$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.84 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW | 43c | 608.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SAW | 44c | 376$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW | 80c | 315.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SAW | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WBT | 21c | 303.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW | 75c | 286.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked SAW | 47c | 286.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed WBT | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW | 74c | 205.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW | 75c | 161$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 40c | 141.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WBT | 23c | 141.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed WBT | 32c | 137.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SAW | 40c | 120.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 43c | 112$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SAW | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SAW | 34c | 88.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WBT | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 54c | 80.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WBT | 29c | 68.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked WBT | 43c | 67.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked SAW | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked SAW | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 60c | 60.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked WBT | 60c | 57.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW | 60c | 49.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WBT | 59c | 34.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed WBT | 72c | 30.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed WBT | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked WBT | 38c | 29.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked SAW | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed SAW | 78c | 26.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked SAW | 46c | 23.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group DWBT won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 1 WinnerWBT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.