CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56323f8332a1708b790022bcb5e8030cf9072daba5c077d06157d07f96fe351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WBTof SAW, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 22c | 519.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked WBT | 61c | 358.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SAW | 40c | 302.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked SAW | 58c | 223.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SAW | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 58c | 193.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked WBT | 76c | 177.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed WBT | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WBT | 76c | 130.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked WBT | 49c | 129.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 25c | 92.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SAW | 24c | 88.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW | 26c | 79.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SAW | 35c | 71.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SAW | 22c | 69.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW | 25c | 58.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed SAW | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked WBT | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed WBT | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked WBT | 80c | 22.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 72c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed WBT | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked WBT | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group DWBT won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.