Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6edfbc4abf6e20814f59b6bb75215f055d558c9ad7d9f3c0281c9ce8562991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,984$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 3,663$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 15c | 1,562$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 6c | 428$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 14c | 347.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 305.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 259.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 14c | 223.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 206.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 15c | 145.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 14c | 141.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 13c | 135.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +153%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 14c | 69.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.